Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 5.484833 6.254988 7.104992 8.114461 9.282895 10.595468 12.185426
2025-03-30 4.478367 5.483290 6.681437 8.221797 10.158997 12.526746 15.658659
2025-04-06 3.800699 4.900266 6.287409 8.178606 10.709616 14.007594 18.675429
2025-04-13 3.305409 4.442080 5.942821 8.089076 11.111982 15.265647 21.487998
2025-04-20 3.037707 4.233695 5.877423 8.330205 11.946624 17.159885 25.384605
2025-04-27 2.803163 4.034124 5.787015 8.503535 12.676574 18.958489 29.348033
2025-05-04 2.644973 3.920573 5.797564 8.810577 13.620312 21.162338 34.207981
2025-05-11 2.381548 3.619830 5.493532 8.593365 13.708309 22.018039 36.966099
2025-05-18 2.179558 3.391499 5.274020 8.478263 13.934028 23.101628 40.224724
2025-05-25 2.008931 3.195212 5.083587 8.384847 14.174897 24.221009 43.671553
2025-06-01 1.849091 3.001112 4.877049 8.239138 14.301539 25.141663 46.854758
2025-06-08 1.701612 2.814224 4.664721 8.059320 14.341873 25.899664 49.809668
2025-06-15 1.654091 2.794219 4.736295 8.394128 15.367630 28.620761 57.075809
2025-06-22 1.572389 2.707721 4.684035 8.497072 15.966840 30.595167 63.103824
2025-06-29 1.476175 2.587119 4.559832 8.451259 16.268698 32.010261 68.137519
2025-07-06 1.382556 2.463411 4.418991 8.358334 16.463152 33.222496 72.891136
2025-07-13 1.342691 2.435219 4.452182 8.608253 17.383215 36.060922 81.791001
2025-07-20 1.296573 2.391284 4.451172 8.787924 18.173067 38.710548 90.658478
2025-07-27 1.269683 2.381749 4.515180 9.106233 19.295650 42.236853 102.251233
2025-08-03 1.184087 2.251108 4.329673 8.881046 19.187394 42.925820 106.728332
2025-08-10 1.116651 2.151647 4.199111 8.761726 19.305965 44.160652 112.835049
2025-08-17 1.056692 2.062967 4.083748 8.664891 19.465655 45.512097 119.475873
2025-08-24 0.996020 1.968612 3.949576 8.513854 19.480490 46.506282 125.283033